By Oliver Gettell
March 31, 2019 at 12:40 PM EDT

Disney and Tim Burton’s Dumbo isn’t exactly soaring, but it’ll have enough lift to reach the top of the box office on its opening weekend.

The live-action update of the beloved 1941 animated film is on track to sell an estimated $45 million in tickets at 4,259 theaters in the U.S. and Canada from Friday through Sunday, unseating Jordan Peele’s horror hit Us ($33.6 million). Dumbo’s muted opening comes in below industry projections, which were in the $50 million to $58 million range, while also falling short of previous live-action Disney re-imaginings like Beauty and the Beast ($174.8 million), The Jungle Book ($103.3 million), Maleficent ($69.4 million), and Cinderella ($67.9 million).

Directed by Burton and made for an estimated $170 million, Dumbo has garnered mixed reviews from movie critics, while audiences gave it an A-minus CinemaScore. Expanding upon the original film’s heartwarming story of a baby elephant who becomes a circus star thanks to his big, floppy ears, the new version stars Colin Farrell, Michael Keaton, Danny DeVito, and Eva Green.

Disney will also be unveiling live-action updates of Aladdin and The Lion King later this year.

In second place, Peele and Universal’s Us is holding steady in its sophomore weekend, with a decline of about 53 percent from its stellar debut. After 10 days in theaters, its domestic total sits at an estimated $128.2 million. The film will add about $22.6 million overseas this weekend, bringing its worldwide haul to about $174.5 million.

A critical hit, Us stars Lupita Nyong’o, Winston Duke, Shahadi Wright Joseph, and Evan Alex as a family who come face-to-face with their freaky doppelgängers.

Rounding out the top five this weekend are Disney and Marvel’s latest superhero hit, Captain Marvel, with an estimated $20.5 million; CBS Films and Lionsgate’s teen romantic drama Five Feet Apart, with an estimated $6.3 million; and Pure Flix’s anti-abortion drama Unplanned, with an estimated $6.1 million.

Elsewhere, Neon and Harmony Korine’s stoner comedy The Beach Bum is flopping with a debut of about $1.8 million at 1,100 theaters (a per-screen average of about $1,636). That figure marks a career-worst opening for Matthew McConaughey, who plays the title role. The film also stars Isla Fisher, Snoop Dogg, and Zac Efron.

Overall box office is down 16.3 percent year-to-date, according to Comscore. Check out the March 29-31 numbers below.

1. Dumbo — $45 million
2. Us — $33.6 million
3. Captain Marvel — $20.5 million
4. Five Feet Apart — $6.3 million
5. Unplanned — $6.1 million
6. Wonder Park — $4.9 million
7. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World — $4.2 million
8. Hotel Mumbai — $3.2 million
9. A Madea Family Funeral — $2.7 million
10. The Beach Bum — $1.8 million

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