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Oscars 2013: Keep Your Eye On...

Oscars 2013: Keep Your Eye On...

Anthony Breznican views the award season landscape: Movies, actors, actresses, directors now in the mix

By Anthony Breznican

Updated November 12, 2012 at 04:00 PM EST

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Argo

Warner Bros.

Ben Affleck's thriller about CIA agents teaming with filmmakers to create a? fake movie production to help embassy workers escape the Iran hostage crisis? is an industry favorite. Hollywood loves seeing itself save the day, and even more so when it's a true story.

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Lincoln

David James

Early viewers regard Steven Spielberg's historical epic as a master class in acting, writing, directing, and practically every other cinematic skill. Daniel Day-Lewis is virtually assured a third Oscar for Best Actor, and his talents may help the film claim the top prize as well.

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Life of Pi

Fox

This saga of a boy lost at sea could be the first 3-D film to win Best Picture. In director Ang Lee's hands, the format adds emotional heft, since the proximity of the live-action boy to CG things — the tiger in his lifeboat, the ship that passes them by — is key to the tale.

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Les Misérables

Laurie Sparham

Three decades of popularity of the Tony-winning musical have already placed its sprawling adaptation high on industry voters' must-see lists. A nomination seems a safe bet, but that also means the film has very high expectations to meet.

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Silver Linings Playbook

JoJo Whilden

David O. Russell's frenzied romantic dramedy about a bipolar patient trying to find love and happiness won the People's Choice Award at this fall's Toronto Film Festival. It's more intimate and personal than some of its rivals, which could give it an underdog boost.

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Consider This: The Perks of Being a Wallflower

John Bramley

You don't have to be a kid to love Stephen Chbosky's adaptation of his own coming-of-age novel. It reminds us that great friends can turn the worst of times into good ol' days.

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Other Best Picture Contenders

Jonathan Olley

Zero Dark Thirty (pictured)
Beasts of the Southern Wild
The Impossible
The Master
The Sessions

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Best Picture Long Shots

ANDREW COOPER

Django Unchained (pictured)
Anna Karenina
Amour
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Moonrise Kingdom

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Best Actor Frontrunner: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

DreamWorks

He's the closest thing to a sure bet in this Oscar race. Academy members have described his performance as ''uncanny'' and ''more Lincoln than Lincoln.''

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Best Actor Frontrunner: John Hawkes, The Sessions

Sarah M. Golonka

As a lovable disabled man trying to learn what all the fuss is about sex, the 2010 nominee for Winter's Bone might have the best shot at unseating his Lincoln costar Day-Lewis.

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Best Actor Frontrunner: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Phil Bray

He dissed the awards-season rat race in an October interview, but voters couldn't ignore his emotionally (and physically) twisted moonshine addict if they tried.

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Consider This: Tom Holland, The Impossible

JOSE HARO

If the Best Actor field were less jammed, 16-year-old Tom Holland wouldn't need a special mention. But his gut-wrenching role as a lost boy in the aftermath of the 2004 tsunami shouldn't be overlooked.

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Other Best Actor Contenders

Laurie Sparham

Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables (pictured)
Ben Affleck, Argo
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Denzel Washington, Flight

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Best Actor Long Shots

Myles Aronowitz

Richard Gere, Arbitrage (pictured)
Jack Black, Bernie
Jamie Foxx, Django Unchained
Jake Gyllenhaal, End of Watch
Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Jonathan Olley

Her first Oscar nod came for last year's The Help. Her second could be for her lead role as a CIA analyst tracking Osama bin Laden in Kathryn Bigelow's high-profile film.

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

JoJo Whilden

Academy members are already buzzing about the Winter's Bone star's intensity as a wild woman who captures Bradley Cooper's broken heart.

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Naomi Watts, The Impossible

JOSE HARO

Previously nominated for 2003's 21 Grams, she may end up the front-runner as a mom pushed to make brutal sacrifices in the midst of the 2004 tsunami. Note to voters: Bring tissues. Really.

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Consider This: Melanie Lynskey, Hello I Must Be Going

She made her debut in Heavenly Creatures, and became famous on Two and a Half Men. But her sexy turn as a divorcée who falls for ? a 19-year-old should make her a star.

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Other Best Actress Contenders

Suzanne Tenner

Helen Mirren, Hitchcock (pictured)
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Smashed

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Best Actress Long Shots

Sony Pictures Classics

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (pictured)
Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere
Maggie Smith, Quartet
Barbra Streisand, The Guilt Trip
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Alan Arkin, Argo

Claire Folger

Who wouldn't cast a ballot for his irascible Hollywood producer?

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Phil Bray

His character calls himself a writer, doctor, and nuclear physicist, and he could make Hoffman a double Oscar winner.

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

DreamWorks II/Disney

Chewing up costars won him an Oscar for The Fugitive. He could earn another the same way as fierce abolitionist Thaddeus Stevens.

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Consider This: James Gandolfini, Not Fade Away

Barry Wetcher

The focus is on a 1960s band of Rolling Stones wannabes, but Gandolfini steals the film as a brutish, unhappy father — who doesn't have time on his side.

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Other Best Supporting Actor Contenders

Claire Folger

John Goodman, Argo (pictured)
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Ewan McGregor, The Impossible

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Best Supporting Actor Long Shots

Peter Sorel

Irrfan Khan, Life of Pi (pictured)
Russell Crowe, Les Misérables
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike
Ezra Miller, The Perks of Being a Wallflower

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Best Supporting Actress Frontrunner: Sally Field, Lincoln

David James

The two-time nominee (and two-time winner) is earning kudos for a caricature-free turn as the stalwart wife and grieving mother Mary Todd Lincoln.

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Best Supporting Actress Frontrunner: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables

Laurie Sparham

Hathaway dropped weight, chopped her hair, and sang her heart out as the tragic Fantine — a commitment level that tends to wow.

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Best Supporting Actress Frontrunner: Helen Hunt, The Sessions

David James

An Oscar winner for 1997's As Good as It Gets, Hunt gives a raw, sometimes naked performance as a sex surrogate working with a disabled man.

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Consider This: Gloria Reuben, Lincoln

David James

In a film full of bravura performances, the ER veteran's subtle, heartfelt role as a slave?turned?aide to Mary Todd Lincoln personalizes the stakes of the president's fight to abolish slavery.

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Other Best Supporting Actress Contenders

Laurie Sparham

Samantha Barks, Les Misérables (pictured)
Amy Adams, The Master
Amanda Seyfried, Les Misérables
Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

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Best Supporting Actress Long Shots

Summit

Emma Watson, The Perks of Being a Wallflower (pictured)
Blythe Danner, Hello I Must Be Going
Rosemarie DeWitt, Your Sister's Sister
Ann Dowd, Compliance
Scarlett Johansson, Hitchcock

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Best Director Frontrunner: Ben Affleck, Argo

Claire Folger

Affleck could get a Best Actor nomination, but he's even more likely to be honored for his solid work in the directing category. His third knockout feature proves his filmmaking chops are for real.

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Best Director Frontrunner: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Chan Kam Chuen

Three other major directors tried and failed to adapt this ''unfilmable'' novel. The directing community will likely reward Lee for succeeding with their three biggest fears: kids, animals, and water.

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Oscars 2013: Keep Your Eye On...

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Argo

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Lincoln

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Life of Pi

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Les Misérables

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Best Picture Frontrunner: Silver Linings Playbook

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Consider This: The Perks of Being a Wallflower

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Other Best Picture Contenders

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Best Picture Long Shots

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Best Actor Frontrunner: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

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Best Actor Frontrunner: John Hawkes, The Sessions

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Best Actor Frontrunner: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

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Consider This: Tom Holland, The Impossible

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Other Best Actor Contenders

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Best Actor Long Shots

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

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Best Actress Frontrunner: Naomi Watts, The Impossible

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Consider This: Melanie Lynskey, Hello I Must Be Going

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Other Best Actress Contenders

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Best Actress Long Shots

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Alan Arkin, Argo

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

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Best Supporting Actor Frontrunner: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

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Consider This: James Gandolfini, Not Fade Away

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Other Best Supporting Actor Contenders

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Best Supporting Actor Long Shots

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