Golden Globes: 11 TV Shows/Performers That WILL Win -- and the Ones That SHOULD
Best TV Series, Drama
Will win: Boardwalk Empire
This beautifully crafted period piece about Prohibition gangsters and the women who love them is just the sort of exalted-pedigree material that voters vote for.
Should win: Mad Men
It's simple, really. This was Mad Men's best season yet, giving us more fully fleshed-out portraits of our favorite characters while injecting the series with new plots that will enhance its future.
WINNER: Boardwalk Empire
Best TV Series, Musical or Comedy
Will win: The Big C
Globes voters tend to be blinded by star power, and this expertly acted dramedy with Laura Linney certainly has the kind of classy actor at its center that should make The Big C triumph over its various script and pacing flaws.
Should win: Modern Family
One of the most reliably funny sitcoms on TV — network or cable — also boasts the best ensemble cast of any current comedy.
Best Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie
Will win: Temple Grandin
I'll be very happy if Temple Grandin wins. It's a model of the kind of biopic TV does well too rarely, with a superb performance in the title role by Claire Danes.
Should win: Carlos
That said, Carlos, the remarkable miniseries about the terrorist Carlos the Jackal, was one of the film events of the past year, both on TV and in its limited theatrical release. A made-for-TV saga, it's the rare political drama that humanizes issues without sentimentalizing them.
Best Actor, Drama
Should and will win: Jon Hamm
The man could do no wrong this season, bearing the weight of so many episodes with seeming ease. Hamm's gift for playing bluff assurance in the office and desperate neediness outside of it showcased the range of his skills.
WINNER: Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Best Actress, Drama
Will win: Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer
Sedgwick has found a colorful role in a mediocre crime drama that she plays with integrity and vigor.
Should win: Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Her Peggy grew up this season, taking command of many of the show's office-politics subplots. At the same time, Moss took care never to let Peggy become a prim drone; she maintained a wittiness and understated sexiness that makes Peggy such an intriguing figure.
WINNER: Katey Sagal, Sons of Anarchy
Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
Should and will win: Jim Parsons
Week after week, Parsons is giving one of the most original, idiosyncratic, and well-thought-out performances on any sitcom. His ability to make his genius-nerd character earn that ultimate TV-industry compliment — ''relatable'' — in no way suggests compromise. Parsons is an artist working in low farce.
WINNER: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Best Actress, Musical or Comedy
Will win: Laura Linney, The Big C
Linney's role as a cancer patient whose disease frees her emotionally is the kind of false-uplift concept that only TV and movie writers imagine with such non-stop idealism. It's the honesty of Linney's performance, the way she insists on letting doubt and pain show through the sunniness, that gives the entire series weight.
Should win: Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Because her show has received many awards, doesn't get huge ratings, and Fey herself is perceived as a writer-who-acts rather than an actor, she doesn't get the credit she deserves for her skill at being Liz Lemon, with all of the latter's bristling intelligence, blithe cynicism, and romantic yearning.
WINNER: Laura Linney, The Big C
Best Actor, Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie
Will win: Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack
You put Pacino in white hair and big glasses and let him furiously emote as the real-life ''Dr. Death'' and just try and stop the Globe voters for handing him a prize for such glorious show-boating!
Should win: Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
Portraying terrorist Carlos the Jackal, Ramirez caught all the facets of a complex personality: A driven, blinkered man when it came to morality and politics; a hopeless romantic in his private life; a man who never settled on what he wanted to be, or should have been. Much of this was conveyed through Ramirez?s smallest gestures, glances, and inflections.
WINNER: Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack
Best Actress, Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie
Should and will win: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
Danes brought great humor, pep, and dignity to the role of Temple Grandin, the real-life science prodigy with autism. What could have been a throwback to the inspirational ''disease of the week'' TV-movie genre instead became a full-fledged movie, thanks to Danes' commitment.
WINNER: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
Best Supporting Actor in TV Series, Mini-Series, or Made-for-TV Movie
Will win: Chris Colfer, Glee
Glee won't, I predict, win many major Globes awards this year, but I'll bet the voters will believe that Colfer deserves one for his clever, prickly performance as Kurt.
Should win: Scott Caan, Hawaii Five-0
The remake of Hawaii Five-0 isn't the greatest piece of TV fare, but Caan does more than his share of making its thin escapism more sinewy, more blunt, and more fun than it has any right to be. He steals the show without being showy.
WINNER: Chris Colfer, Glee
Best Supporting Actress in TV Series, Mini-Series, or Made-for-TV Movie
Will win: Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
As the quiet, intelligent, hard-working Margaret Schroeder, Macdonald managed, over the course of Boardwalk Empire's brawny first season, to emerge as the series' heart and soul. She made every one of Margaret's gradual evolutions, from timid soul to suffering wife to political newbie to mistress-shrewdie, utterly convincing.
Should win: Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Vergara's hotsy looks and deft dialect humor obscure what an excellent job she does of rendering Gloria's self-awareness — the way the character subverts the cliches about attractive women to give us a wife and mother who knows what's important about love, marriage, parenthood, and family.
WINNER: Jane Lynch, Glee