Awards season may be heating up, but this year’s SAG Awards nominations left a few films out in the cold.
The annual award nominations, which honor the year’s best performances by film and television actors, were announced Wednesday morning, with Annette Bening in 20th Century Women, Taraji P. Henson in Hidden Figures, Isabelle Huppert in Elle, Tom Hanks in Sully, and Ruth Negga and Joel Edgerton in Loving among the biggest snubs.
Bening has earned rave reviews for her role as a single mother in Mike Mills’ 1979-set family drama 20th Century Women, but that wasn’t enough to earn her a SAG nom for best actress. Henson and Negga were also surprisingly shut out in the same category.
Instead, Emily Blunt landed her first-ever SAG Award nomination, earning a best actress nod for playing the alcoholic and obsessive Rachel in The Girl on the Train. Blunt’s performance has not been considered a likely Oscar contender, but a SAG nomination could tip the scales in her favor: Over the past 10 years, the SAG winner for best actress has gone on to win the Oscar 70 percent of the time.
Other snubs include Clint Eastwood’s Sully and Martin Scorsese’s Silence, neither of which earned a single nomination. (They got shut out on Monday, too, with this year’s Golden Globe nominations.) The aforementioned Hanks and Andrew Garfield have both been mentioned as possible Oscar contenders for Sully and Silence, respectively, but without either a SAG or Golden Globe nomination, their chances might be starting to slip. Over the past 10 years, the SAG Awards have a perfect track record for picking the eventual Oscar best actor winner. (Garfield still snagged a best actor nod for his role in Hacksaw Ridge.)
As far as unlikely nominees go, the biggest surprise might be Captain Fantastic, the Pacific Northwest family dramedy written and directed by Silicon Valley actor Matt Ross. After earning a Golden Globe nomination on Monday, star Viggo Mortensen also picked up a SAG best actor nod for his role as an off-the-grid patriarch to six children. The film also earned a nomination for outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture (the SAG equivalent of best picture). Captain Fantastic has been seen as a bit of an Oscar long shot, but momentum from both the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards could help push it in the right direction.
Oscar frontrunners like Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea earned all the nominations they were expected to, with one pleasant surprise as Manchester teen star Lucas Hedges landed a best supporting actor nomination.
But although Damien Chazelle’s musical La La Land has been touted as the movie to beat for the Oscar best picture, it failed to earn a SAG nomination for best ensemble. Still, it isn’t all that surprising: Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling carry the film, and they both earned individual acting nominations. The SAG best ensemble award tends to honor larger casts, and besides, the award isn’t a particularly accurate Oscar indicator, only picking the eventual best picture winner six times over the last 10 years. (No best picture winner at the Oscars, however, has failed to score a best ensemble nod at SAG since 1995’s Braveheart.)
The SAG Awards will air at 8 p.m. ET on TNT and TBS on Sunday, Jan. 29. See the full list of nominations here.