Box office preview: The Jungle Book to conquer Huntsman: Winter’s War
Winter may be coming, but it won’t have any effect on the jungle.
After speeding past expectations and opening to $103.3 million, The Jungle Book is headed for its second weekend at No. 1. Jon Favreau’s take on Rudyard Kipling’s classic story is riding high on rave critical reviews and positive word-of-mouth, and so far, it’s raked in more than $119 million domestically and $351.7 million worldwide. The Jungle Book has especially found success overseas, and as of Wednesday, it’s now India’s highest-grossing Hollywood release ever — after only 12 days in theaters.
That’s the competition that The Huntsman: Winter’s War has to face this weekend, as the Charlize Theron-starring sequel is set to open in 3,788 theaters. In June 2012, Snow White and the Huntsman opened to $56.2 million, going on to gross $155.3 million domestically. Star Kristen Stewart didn’t come back for Winter’s War, but returning cast members Theron and Chris Hemsworth are joined by Emily Blunt and Jessica Chastain in the story of what happened before Snow White.
Here’s how this weekend’s box office race might shape up:
1. The Jungle Book — $60 million
The Jungle Book demolished expectations when it opened last weekend, and there are a few possibilities for how it will hold up in its second outing. If you look at recent Disney live-action adaptations like 2010’s Alice in Wonderland, 2014’s Maleficent, and last year’s Cinderella, they all tend to drop about 45 to 50 percent, which suggests that The Jungle Book is looking at a second weekend around $52-57 million. But with its excellent reviews, there’s a chance that The Jungle Book could perform more like Zootopia, which held up extremely well in its second weekend and only fell 32 percent. (A similar drop would put The Jungle Book closer to $70 million.)
Either way, The Jungle Book is practically guaranteed a first-place finish, and a second weekend around $60 million or higher seems like the most likely outcome.
2. The Huntsman: Winter’s War — $24 million
Even though Winter’s War ramped up the star power, adding Chastain and Blunt to the cast, this sequel probably won’t match the success of the original 2012 Snow White and the Huntsman. Reviews haven’t been kind, with Winter’s War earning only a 17 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and the success of The Jungle Book will most likely eat into its audience. Instead of Snow White’s $56.2 million opening, tracking suggests that Winter’s War will debut somewhere in the mid-20s. Its budget was about $115 million.
3. Barbershop: The Next Cut — $12 million
The third installment in the Barbershop franchise failed to live up to the success of the first two films, but it still notched a solid $20.2 million opening and an A- CinemaScore. So far, it’s earned $24.2 million domestically. Both Barbershop and Barbershop 2 dipped about 40 percent in their second weekend, and if The Next Cut does the same, it’s looking at about $12 million for the weekend.
4. The Boss — $6 million
After opening to $23.6 million, Melissa McCarthy’s The Boss dipped almost 58 percent in its second weekend, bringing its domestic total to $42.7 million. The Boss’ closest box office comparison is 2014’s Tammy, which fell 41 percent in its third weekend, and if The Boss does the same, it should pull in about $6 million this weekend.
5. Zootopia — $5.5 million
Zootopia managed to hold its own against The Jungle Book, even as another PG-rated Disney movie with talking animals. Now entering its eighth weekend in theaters, Zootopia has racked up $309.3 million domestically and an astonishing $889 million worldwide, and it should continue to hold up well this weekend, adding another $5-6 million to its total.
Barbershop: The Next Cut