Box office preview: Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Daddy's Home, Point Break, Joy
After breaking just about every box office record on the books, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is headed for another colossal weekend.
Even with multiple movies hitting theaters on Christmas, The Force Awakens is headed for another weekend at the top, but new wide releases like Daddy’s Home, Point Break, Joy, and Concussion will all be jockeying for a spot in the top five. It should be a busy holiday weekend at the box office, and tracking from Rentrak indicates that over the next week, 2015 should eventually hit $11 billion in total, making this the biggest box office year of all time.
Here’s how this weekend’s box office race might play out.
1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — $150 million
Predictions vary on just how big The Force Awakens’ second weekend is going to be, but most expectations peg it somewhere around $150 million (or higher). That’s well above the current record holder for the all-time best second weekend (Jurassic World, with $106.6 million), which means The Force Awakens is most likely headed for another record-breaking weekend. The Force Awakens has made an estimated $325.4 million as of Tuesday, for a global total of $689.4 million.
2. Daddy’s Home — $21 million
The Will Ferrell and Mark Wahlberg-starring comedy is expected to top the newcomers, with weekend estimates ranging from $20 to $22 million. That’s similar to how Anchorman 2 performed when it bowed the weekend before Christmas with $26.2 million. Reviews haven’t been great, and Daddy’s Home currently holds a 27 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes. It’s opening in about 3,200 locations with a budget of about $50 million.
3. Point Break — $16 million
Ericson Core’s remake of the Kathryn Bigelow classic stars Edgar Ramirez and Luke Bracey, and Point Break was produced by Alcon and is being distributed by Warner Bros. in 2,910 theaters. It hasn’t screened for critics yet, but it’s projected to make about $15 to $17 million over the weekend, on a budget of about $105 million.
4. Joy — $14 million
David O. Russell and Jennifer Lawrence are once again teaming up for Joy, which tells the story of the woman who invented the Miracle Mop. Opening in about 2,700 theaters, it’s expected to debut somewhere in the low to mid teens. Reviews have been mixed, and it currently has a 60 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes.
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip — $13 million
Alvin got steamrolled by The Force Awakens last weekend, debuting to $14.3 million, but it’s expected to see almost no drop in its second weekend, thanks to the holidays and the fact that it’s one of the only animated, family-friendly options in theaters right now. As of Tuesday, it’s made $21.3 million domestically.
The Will Smith-starring Concussion, which takes on the issue of head trauma in the NFL, is also hitting about 2,800 theaters. It’s expected to make about $9 million this weekend, although some are predicting it could actually land in the mid teens. It currently has a 60 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes.
Adam McKay’s The Big Short, starring Christian Bale, Steve Carell, Ryan Gosling, and Brad Pitt, is also expanding to about 1,600 locations, starting Wednesday. So far, it’s had an excellent run in limited release, earning a per-theater average of $88,000 — the second best of the year. It’s projected to make about $10 million over five days and $8 million over the three-day weekend.
Quentin Tarantino’s The Hateful Eight is also debuting in 100 theaters with an exclusive 70mm run, and The Revenant, starring Leonardo DiCaprio, is opening in four theaters on Christmas Day.