By James Hibberd
Updated October 21, 2014 at 03:02 PM EDT
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We’ve gone an entire month into the fall TV season without a single canceled show. That’s amazing.

Last year, the first canceled show was on Oct. 4 (ABC’s Lucky 7). In 2012, it was on Oct. 10 (CBS’ Made In Jersey). In 2011, Oct. 4 struck again (NBC’s The Playboy Club). Usually, the first canceled show is followed within a week or so by a second and third.

Yet here we are, on Oct. 21, with four weeks of new shows behind us (more weeks for some early launching titles, like Fox’s Red Band Society and Utopia). And yet, the new shows are still standing. The broadcast ax sits in the corner of the woodshed, gleaming and unused.

What’s the holdup? Do we have a schedule chock full of new big hits? Hahahahaha. No. There are definitely titles begging for their misery to end—like NBC’s A to Z, ABC’s Manhattan Love Story (my pick in the EW office deadpool) and pretty much every new Fox show except Gotham.

There has been a couple key demotions since the start of the season—reality effort Utopia was taken off Tuesday nights and it now just stinks up Fridays. Fox’s comedy Mulaney saw its episode order reduced from 16 to 13 episodes. They’re shows walking, but still walking.

Industry insiders cite some factors at play.

DVR, as usual, gets some of the blame/credit. Networks are taking longer to evaluate given the steep amount of time-shifted viewing going on. Full DVR numbers take a few weeks to come in. The premiere-week episode of Red Band Society grew a whopping 82 percent via DVR. But insiders suggest any DVR hesitation is partly cosmetic and PR driven too — executives realize they can’t keep saying publicly that everybody needs to take into consideration DVR playback rather than judging their shows off initial numbers, then axe a show before full data on a couple episodes have come in.

Fox in particular likes to wait, if possible, until after its World Series coverage since the games are so disruptive its schedule that it makes it tough to launch something new in the middle of it.

Some of the bombing comedies are tanking in hour-long blocks, which makes it tougher to cancel one without axing both.

But another significant factor, from what I’m hearing, is that there is a lack of confidence this year in the midseason replacement shows. In other words, networks fear that a time period might only get worse if they switch to the next show in the dugout, so they’re holding off for now.

So let’s re-ask the question we asked a few weeks ago: Which new show will be canceled first? Selfie, Utopia, and NBC’s Mysteries of Laura “won” that poll. Fox’s Gracepoint is begging to get chopped from Thursday night, and almost certainly would be if not for the upcoming baseball coverage (and the fact it’s a limited series adds some incentive to let it play out). Same goes for Utopia. Comedies Selfie, Manhattan, Bad Judge and A to Z are all looking super weak (with my pick Manhattan the softest last week).

Here’s the just-released ranking of all the broadcast shows among adults 18-49 through the first four weeks of the season (including full DVR playback for the first two weeks):

Show Name

Net

P18-49

NBC NFL SUNDAY FOOTBALL

NBC

8.1

BIG BANG THEORY

CBS

6.0

NBC NFL SUNDAY PRE-KICK

NBC

5.9

CBS THU FOOTBALL

CBS

5.8

NFL OT

FOX

5.1

MODERN FAMILY

ABC

4.7

VOICE

NBC

4.6

FAMILY GUY

FOX

4.6

BIG BANG THEORY-M 830P

CBS

4.4

HOW TO GET AWAY WITH MURDER

ABC

4.4

FOOTBALL NT IN AMERICA 3

NBC

4.3

VOICE-TUE

NBC

4.2

SCANDAL

ABC

4.1

BLACKLIST

NBC

3.9

GOTHAM

FOX

3.9

SCORPION

CBS

3.6

ONCE UPON A TIME

ABC

3.6

SIMPSONS

FOX

3.5

BLACK-ISH

ABC

3.4

GREY’S ANATOMY

ABC

3.4

NCIS

CBS

3.3

BIG BROTHER-WED

CBS

3.2

CRIMINAL MINDS

CBS

3.1

SURVIVOR

CBS

2.9

UNDER THE DOME

CBS

2.9

GOLDBERGS

ABC

2.9

CHICAGO FIRE

NBC

2.8

NCIS: NEW ORLEANS

CBS

2.8

BROOKLYN NINE-NINE

FOX

2.6

MARVEL AGENT OF S.H.I.E.L.D.

ABC

2.5

MIDDLE

ABC

2.5

SLEEPY HOLLOW

FOX

2.5

LAW & ORDER:SVU

NBC

2.4

CBS+NFLN THU NT KICK-2

CBS

2.4

MARRY ME

NBC

2.3

CASTLE

ABC

2.3

SHARK TANK

ABC

2.3

CHICAGO PD

NBC

2.2

PERSON OF INTEREST

CBS

2.2

DANCING WITH THE STARS

ABC

2.2

DANCING WITH THE STARS RSLTS

ABC

2.2

RESURRECTION

ABC

2.2

NCIS: LA

CBS

2.1

STALKER

CBS

2.1

ABC SAT NIGHT COL FTBL

ABC

2.1

60 MINUTES

CBS

2.0

BONES

FOX

2.0

NEW GIRL

FOX

2.0

PARENTHOOD

NBC

1.9

MADAM SECRETARY

CBS

1.9

NASHVILLE

ABC

1.9

BIGGEST LOSER 16

NBC

1.8

FOOTBALL NT IN AMERICA 2

NBC

1.8

MYSTERIES OF LAURA

NBC

1.8

CSI

CBS

1.8

FOREVER

ABC

1.8

BOB’S BURGERS

FOX

1.8

HELL’S KITCHEN

FOX

1.8

FLASH

CW

1.8

ABOUT A BOY

NBC

1.7

GOOD WIFE

CBS

1.7

REVENGE

ABC

1.7

FAMILY GUY-ENCORE

FOX

1.7

UTOPIA

FOX

1.7

AMAZING RACE

CBS

1.6

BLUE BLOODS

CBS

1.6

HAWAII FIVE-0

CBS

1.6

LAST MAN STANDING

ABC

1.6

BAD JUDGE

NBC

1.5

MINDY PROJECT

FOX

1.5

RED BAND SOCIETY

FOX

1.5

DATELINE-FRI

NBC

1.4

20/20-FRI

ABC

1.4

SELFIE

ABC

1.3

A-TO-Z

NBC

1.2

CRISTELA

ABC

1.2

GRACEPOINT

FOX

1.2

AMER FUNN HOME VIDEOS

ABC

1.1

MANHATTAN LOVE STORY

ABC

1.1

MULANEY

FOX

1.1

VAMPIRE DIARIES

CW

1.1

48 HOURS

CBS

1.0

SUPERNATURAL

CW

1.0

ABC SAT NIGHT COL FTBL-PREGM

ABC

0.9

COLLEGE FOOTBALL-FOX-PRIME

FOX

0.9

UTOPIA-FRI

FOX

0.9

ARROW

CW

0.9

SNL PRIME-SAT

NBC

0.8

CRIMETIME SAT-9P

CBS

0.7

ORIGINALS

CW

0.7

JANE THE VIRGIN

CW

0.6

WHOSE LINE IS IT ANYWAY

CW

0.6

LAW & ORDER:SVU-SAT

NBC

0.5

MYSTERIES OF LAURA-SAT

NBC

0.5

CRIMETIME SAT-8P

CBS

0.5

REIGN

CW

0.5

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