Death Watch 2014: TV show survival predictions
UPDATED 3/13: Once again we stand in vigil while gazing at the broadcast schedule, watching and waiting to see which prime-time series will be the next to … snuff it.
Morbid, we know.
Here’s a status update on nearly all the current shows on the five broadcast networks. Though ratings are still key, a show’s fate is increasingly impacted by other factors: ABC’s Revenge would likely get axed if it weren’t for its impressive DVR numbers. The CW’s Reign has improved odds because of it’s co-produced in-house and ABC’s Neighbors may survive because the bar is lower on Fridays. So we spoke with insiders to try and craft an accurate prognosis for each show. Let’s start with …
How I Met Your Mother: Nice to meet you, mom! You kids have a nice life.
2 Broke Girls: RENEWED
Mike & Molly: RENEWED
Intelligence: Performs admirably, but not well enough to get an early pickup. Stay tuned.
Hostages: Nice CBS attempt to break out of its procedural drama grind, but it’s finished.
NCIS: LA: RENEWED
Person of Interest: RENEWED
Criminal Minds: RENEWED
The Big Bang Theory: RENEWED
The Millers: RENEWED
The Crazy Ones: A decent performer, but it wasn’t included in CBS’ big pickup announcement on March 13. This one will go down to the wire.
Two and a Half Men: RENEWED
Hawaii Five-0: RENEWED
Blue Bloods: RENEWED
The Amazing Race: RENEWED
The Good Wife: RENEWED
The Mentalist: With Red John (the show’s big villain) dead, the veteran drama now has to creatively reboot. Another one that’ll have to wait until the 11th hour.
Sleepy Hollow: RENEWED
The Simpsons: RENEWED
MasterChef Jr: RENEWED
Bob’s Burgers: RENEWED
Family Guy: Will return.
The Following: RENEWED
Almost Human: Short circuited in the Nielsens and pricey too. Fox will abort.
Dads: We keep thinking this critically reviled comedy is dead. We keep hearing it’s not.
Brooklyn Nine-Nine: RENEWED
The Mindy Project: RENEWED.
New Girl: RENEWED
American Idol: Yup, especially with fans not throwing things at their TVs this cycle. And new judge Harry Connick Jr is pretty charming.
Raising Hope: CANCELED
Enlisted: Unlikely to re-enlist, unless the boys manage to maintain at least a semi-decent Friday number.
American Dad: Moving to TBS.
Rake: It’s still early but … we’re hearing it’s probably dead.
The X Factor: CANCELED.
The Bachelor: There are still plenty of single women willing to embarrass themselves on TV.
Dancing with the Stars: No plans to stop the music for at least one more cycle.
Castle: Currently enjoying its best season ever. Hell yes it’ll be back.
Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD: Ambitious but disappointing. Surprisingly not a lock to return.
The Goldbergs: Not as ambitious but also disappointing. Straddles the fence.
Trophy Wife: Same.
The Middle: The family will stay intact.
Suburgatory: It’s not a beautiful day in this neighborhood. On the bubble.
Super Fun Night: Time to give up on this project, but not Rebel Wilson. She’ll be back on TV — just not in this.
The Taste: Bland to the tongue.
Seattle Grace Grey-Sloan Memorial Hospital will stay open.
Modern Family: Strong as oak.
Scandal: No shocking twist this season; Fitz and Liv will be back.
Nashville: Considered a “DVR hit.” Yup, that’s a thing now. Will likely return.
Last Man Standing: Against the tide because ABC doesn’t own it.
The Neighbors: With the tide because ABC owns it.
Shark Tank: Perfect Friday show and all-around utility player that recently hit a record high.
Once Upon a Time: Having its weakest season in the ratings, but Storybrooke has more tales to tell.
Once Upon a Time in Wonderland: If you think a renewal is certain, you’re living in a fantasy land.
Betrayal: ABC wants to forget this torrid affair ever happened.
The Blacklist: RENEWED
The Voice: This one, too.
The Biggest Loser: Will squeeze in another season.
Chicago Fire: Lots more blazes for the hotties to put out.
Chicago PD: The cops aren’t as popular as the firemen, but will probably stick around.
Revolution: Tough call. It’s owned by a rival studio, which doesn’t help. Perhaps a 13-episode season?
Law & Order: SVU: Should coast into another under-the-radar renewal.
Parks and Recreation: There’s nothing funny about NBC’s comedy block performance. Unless you consider failure funny, because then it’s hilarious. Parks is the best of the worst and will return.
Community: Would five seasons and a movie be okay? Definitely got a fair chance, though…
The Michael J. Fox Show: NBC got dizzy from spinning its decision to yank Fox from its schedule. Will the remaining episodes air? Probably. Will it return next season? You can bet your house against it.
Sean Saves the World: CANCELED.
Parenthood: Modestly heroic numbers against strong competition with almost no lead-in. Will return for another generation.
Grimm: NBC still wants a Friday thriller block and Grimm remains the key.
Hannibal: Since season 2 hasn’t yet debuted in its new time slot, it’s far too early to say.
Dracula: Probably won’t rise again, yet NBC isn’t count-count-counting it out.
NEXT: The CW….
The Vampire Diaries: RENEWED.
The Originals: RENEWED.
Hart of Dixie: The CW wants to see how it does on Fridays starting in March. It must at least beat how The Carrie Diaries performed in the slot.
Beauty and the Beast: Not quite dead yet. Has a shot at a short-order, if only because The CW likes to give their multi-year shows some final seasons.
Tomorrow People: Future doesn’t look bright.
Carrie Diaries: Almost certainly done. Don’t wake us up before you go-go.