Death Watch 2012: Our fall TV survival predictions
The May upfronts are just around the corner! Death is nigh, my friends! Time to check the status of nearly all broadcast shows. Here’s what we’re hearing along with each show’s current adults 18-49 average rating:
Alcatraz: 3.4 rating. Status: Not hopeful: Monday’s finale was the lowest-rated episode for the season.
Allen Gregory: DEAD
American Dad: 2.8 rating. Status: RENEWED.
American Idol: 6.7 Wednesdays, 6.2 rating Thursdays. Status: It’s now a full-on team sport to bag on the aging music competition, but this franchise ain’t going anywhere (yet). The bigger question is how much the judging panel will change next season.
Bones: 3.0 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Breaking In: DEAD
Family Guy: 3.9 rating. Status: Absolutely.
Fringe: 1.7 rating. Status: We’ve been hearing Fringe was doomed — until this week. There’s renewed hope for a 13-episode “final season” pickup thanks to the modest performance of Alcatraz.
Glee: 3.8 rating. Status: Of course! We gotta see what happens next at McKinley High after some of its talented seniors graduate.
Hell’s Kitchen. 3.4 rating. Status: Sure, why not?
House: 3.5 rating. Status: The doctor is out!
Kitchen Nightmares: 1.7 rating. Status: Yawn. Isn’t it time for this kitchen to close already? Especially if Gordon Ramsay’s latest, Hotel Hell, breaks out.
Napoleon Dynamite: 2.8 rating. Status: Nah. We aren’t feeling it.
New Girl: 4.2 rating. Status: Oh course, the cutest gal on Fox is coming back for another season!
Raising Hope: 2.6 rating. Status: Not the greatest performer but the auspices are awesome, especially if Fox wants to continue to try and build a four-sitcom comedy block on Tuesdays. We predict another season.
The Cleveland Show: 2.0 rating. Status: Probably.
The Finder: 2.8 rating. Status: Any optimism is unfounded.
The Simpsons: 3.5 rating: Status: RENEWED
The X-Factor: 4.4 rating. Status: RENEWED. (But who are the new hosts and remaining judges?)
I Hate My Teenage Daughter: 2.2 rating. Status: Yanked with two episodes still in the can. Not officially canceled, but Fox never officially canceled Moment of Truth either.
Terra Nova: 3.6 rating. Status: Canceled by Fox, cuerrently shopping for another home. We’re not holding our breath, especially since stars like Jason O’Mara have already booked other shows.
Touch: 3.3 rating. Status: Kiefer Sutherland returns in this drama from Heroes‘ creator Tim Kring. Solid ratings for last month’s preview episode, and Fox just gave it a prime berth after Idol.
Castle: 2.8 rating. Status: A 10 p.m. success on ABC? This crime drama favorite will return.
Modern Family: 6.1 rating. Status: Grabs ratings AND all the awards.
Body of Proof: 2.0 rating. Status: The show does well overseas so it’s too soon to count this drama out.
Charlie’s Angels (ABC): DEAD
Cougar Town: 1.8 rating, 4.9 million. Status: Those awesome winos tried hard, but we don’t expect the Alphabet bosses to show mercy after this season.
Dancing with the Stars: 3.6 rating. Status: Even hitting a series low for its recent premiere, ABC can’t live without its fringe.
Desperate Housewives: 3.5 rating. Status: Buh bye, ladies! Stay fab.
GCB: 2.4 rating. Status: This serialized drama about a group of shrewy women in Texas can’t improve upon its low-rated older sister, Desperate Housewives. We aren’t feeling positive about a second season, but it’s too early to say.
Grey’s Anatomy: 4.4 rating. Status: Certain contracts are up this season (here’s looking at you, Meredith and McDreamy) but we have no doubt Seattle Grace will be open for another season.
Happy Endings: 3.0 rating. Status: Young, hip, pulls a decent number. It’ll earn another season.
Last Man Standing: 2.8 rating. Status: Tough one. It’s hard to let a star like Tim Allen go, but these ratings aren’t exactly upstanding. Could be close.
Man Up!: DEAD
Missing: 2.1 rating. Status: Ashley Judd better find her son quick.
Once Upon a Time: 4.2 rating. Status: Since its the highest-rated new drama of the season, we expect ABC to say yes to more fantasy.
Pan Am: 2.3 rating, 6.9 million. Status: Not technically cancelled but don’t expect Pan Am to make a return trip.
Private Practice: 3.3 rating. Status: On the bubble for the first time, but our gut says it will stick around.
Revenge: 3.0 rating. Status: Strange that ABC hasn’t already rewarded this critical fave with a renewal. It would have hell to pay if it didn’t bring the Graysons back for more beachside fun.
Suburgatory: 2.8 rating. Status: Has been a pretty stable performer. Yes?
The Bachelor: 2.9 rating. Status: Nothing official, but its all but a fait accompli.
The Middle: 2.8 rating. Status:A self-starter. ABC will give the family another go.
The River: 2.3 rating. Status: Sure didn’t attract Paranormal Activity-like audiences (The supernatural thriller is from the maker of the colossally successful movie trilogy). Dead in the water.
Work It: DEAD
30 Rock: 2.2 rating. Status: We’re hearing a seventh and final season is likely for the critical darling.
Are You There, Chelsea? 1.9 rating. Status: We suspect nobody at NBC is drunk enough to renew this show.
Awake: 2.1 rating. Status: Stronger than The Firm and Prime Suspect, but that’s not saying much. Jury’s still out.
Bent: .9 rating. Status: Four episodes have aired, two are left. We suspect those will be its last.
Chuck: 1.3 rating. Status: So long!
Community: 1.9 rating. Status: Critics and die-hard fans love it, but delivers a cable-sized audience. We expect a renewal anyway.
Grimm: 2.2 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Fashion Star: 1.6 rating. Status: Feels like a Bravo-sized show like Project Runway.
Fear Factor: 2.8 rating. Status: What, you don’t want to see if someone may still drink donkey semen on national TV?
Free Agents: 1.5, 3.8 million
Harry’s Law: 1.4 rating. Status: We don’t see how NBC can afford to bring this back, and it wouldn’t fit with Grimm on Fridays.
Law & Order: SVU: 2.3 rating. Status: A modestly solid crime drama that NBC can’t afford to lose right now.
Parenthood: 2.6 rating. Status: The congenial underdog. Feels likely to return, but really depends on how many new dramas NBC orders.
Parks & Recreation: 2.2 rating. Status: Such a phenomenally funny show. It deserves another season and will probably get it.
Playboy Club: 1.5, 4.9 million. Prime Suspect: 1.7, 6.1 million
The Apprentice: 2.4 rating. Status: Celebrity versions do fine; we think another one will come down the pipeline.
The Firm: 1.2 rating. Status: Never should have been made into a series.
The Biggest Loser: 2.5 rating. Status: Feels tired, but it’s a solid player and relatively cheap to keep in the hopper.
The Office: 3.5 rating. Status: It’s NBC’s highest-rated scripted show. So, yes — even with actors exiting and the showrunner stepping down.
Rock Center With Brian Williams: 1.1 rating, 4.5 million. Status: Stick with your day job, Brian.
The Sing-Off: 1.8 rating. Status: Better suited for summer. Seems unlikely it will show up next fall.
Smash: 3.4 rating. Status: RENEWED
The Voice: 7.4 rating. Status: Though nothing is official, negotiations are well underway over a third season and deciding which judges will make a triumphant return.
Up All Night: 2.4 rating. Status: Of all of the new NBC comedies, we think this one is most likely to return next season.
Whitney: 2.2 rating. Status: Nosedived after being moved to Wednesdays. Girl, you’re done.
NEXT: THE CW!
Secret Circle: 1.0 rating. Status: It fits nice with The Vampire Diaries … aside from losing a big bite of it’s audience. Probably returning, though might move to Friday.
Gossip Girl: .8 rating. Status: Not doing well, but this show is CW royalty. We predict a final season order.
90210: .9 rating. Status: Seems like a sure thing.
One Tree Hill: .9 rating. Status: Say goodbye to the kids!
Ringer: 0.8 rating, 1.8 million. Status: Not twinning. Sarah Michelle Gellar’s drama will likely get slayed.
Supernatural: .9 rating. Status: We think fans will be pleased.
The Vampire Diaries: 1.3 rating. Status: CW’s buzziest show and highest-rated series? Hell yes.
Hart of Dixie: 0.8 rating, 1.9 million. Status: Feels more on-brand, and more likely to survive, than Ringer.
America’s Top Model: Status: RENEWED.
Nikita: 0.6 rating. Status: James say no, Lynette is thinking yes.
A Gifted Man: 1.4 rating. Status: So long, Patrick Wilson: We only hope there’s time for you to book another show for fall.
CSI: NY: 2.0 rating, and CSI: Miami: 2.5 rating. Status: We predict Gary Sinise and company says goodbye this spring, followed by David Caruso next year. CSI the mother ship was just renewed for another season, thanks to a great performance by newbie Elisabeth Shue.
Criminal Minds: 3.9 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Hawaii 5-0: 3.5 rating. Status: RENEWED.
How I Met Your Mother: 4.4 rating. Status: RENEWED.
How to be a Gentleman DEAD.
Mike & Molly: 4.0 rating. Status: RENEWED.
NCIS: 4.2 rating. Status: RENEWED.
NCIS: LA: 3.7 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Person of Interest: 3.3 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Rob: 3.7 rating: Status: Did pretty well, but CBS expects big numbers from a show with a Big Bang lead-in. Might go down to the wire.
Rules of Engagement: 3.4 rating. Status: Still in flux. CBS likes this show to patch a hole when new comedies drop out.
Survivor: 3.4 rating. Status: RENEWED.
The Amazing Race: 3.3 rating. Status: RENEWED
The Big Bang Theory: 5.7 rating. Status: RENEWED.
The Good Wife: 2.5 rating. Status: RENEWED. Yey!
The Mentalist: 3.2 rating. Status: RENEWED.
2 Broke Girls: 4.7 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Two and A Half Men: 5.6 rating. Status: The future of the aging comedy is uncertain, because CBS doesn’t have a new deal with Ashton Kutcher and Jon Cryer. So we still don’t know for sure whether Kutcher will return. (But he’d be a fool not to, right?)
Undercover Boss: 2.7 rating. Status: RENEWED.
Unforgettable: 2.6 rating. Status: The Poppy Montgomery drama performs fairly well without anybody saying a word about it, which makes us think it’s got a decent shot.