By Lynette Rice and James Hibberd
Updated November 02, 2011 at 06:33 PM EDT
ABC

UPDATED: We skipped last week to focus on the fate of returning shows, but now we’re back to run down the odds of all the new series surviving past the holidays.

What has changed in the last two weeks? Once upon a time, two networks premiered two shows about fairy tales. One of the dramas premiered on Sunday, debuted to really big numbers and managed to keep all its new friends around for week 2. The other show bowed in a haunted swamp called Friday where it still managed to find some followers.

Here are the latest, season-to-date averages including DVR playback among adults 18-49 (the demographic of most concern to advertisers). Who will get a lump of coal for Christmas?

New Girl (Fox): 6.0, 12.2 million.

Status: Fox was the first network to pick up a new show for a full season, but New Girl went on a four-week hiatus during Fox’s baseball coverage and as a result, the series returned lower in the ratings Tuesday: It averaged 7.5 million viewers and delivered a 3.5 rating, down 19 percent from its last original on Oct. 4.

2 Broke Girls (CBS): 5.5 rating, 13.9 million.

Full season pickup

The X Factor(Fox): Wednesday, 4.8, 13.7 million; Thursday, 4.6, 13.4 million

Full season pickup

Once Upon a Time (ABC): 4.0, 12.4 million.

Status: The highest-rated new drama series premiere of the season and it magically held up in Week 2. A pickup seems highly likely.

Terra Nova (Fox): 3.9, 10.7 million

Status: It will not get a full season (Fox executives have confirmed that it will complete its 13-hour run in December); the question is whether the drama will get a second year for next fall.

Last Man Standing (ABC): 3.7, 12.7 million.

Status: Tim Allen’s first outing started strong, but the traditional sitcom has continued to drop and just posted a 2.6 on Tuesday — down 10 percent and is its lowest-rated telecast to date. Since ABC has already found success with its Wednesday night comedy block, the network now wants this show to help establish a second sitcom beachhead on Tuesdays. This may not be the way to do it, but a pickup still seems more likely than not.

Suburgatory (ABC): 3.6, 10.1 million

Full season pickup

Person of Interest(CBS): 3.3, 14 million

Full season pickup

Revenge (ABC): 3.3, 10.1 million

Full season pickup. Good news for prime time soap fans.

Unforgettable (CBS): 3.0, 13.9 million

Full season pickup

Pan Am (ABC): 2.8, 8.4 million

Status: The period drama has been on a free fall and looks like a candidate for cancellation, though also has a lot of network support.

NEXT PAGE: The dark half: Allen Gregory, Grimm, Ringer, Prime Suspect and more!

How to be a Gentleman (CBS): 2.7, 8.4 million

Canceled

Up All Night (NBC): 2.7, 6.4 million

Status:Full season pickup for a show that’s modest in the ratings (at least they’ve stopped dropping). The pedigree was just too good to give up on early (and Maya Rudolph deserves her own show).

Whitney (NBC): 2.7, 6.2 million

Status: Full season pickup — and yet, the ratings continue to falter. Was it such a good idea to show confidence in this show so soon?

Allen Gregory (Fox) 2.4, 4.8 million

Status: Sandwiched between The Simpsons and Family Guy, this new animated comedy had a great chance to break out. The premiere did not.

Man Up! (ABC) 2.2, 7.3 million

Status: Oy, see what we said for Last Man Standing. We don’t think these dudes are long for this world.

Grimm (NBC) 2.1, 6.6 million

Status: Surprised everybody by pulling TV’s strongest Friday drama rating all year against Game 7 of the World Series. But what happens next?

Charlie’s Angels (ABC): 1.8, 7.4 million

Canceled. Can Minka Kelly go back to Parenthood now?

Prime Suspect (NBC): 1.7, 6.1 million

Status: Sometimes, a struggling new show is worth saving. Sadly, we’re feeling very pessimistic about this Maria Bello starrer.

Playboy Club (NBC): 1.5, 4.9 million

Canceled

A Gifted Man (CBS): 1.3, 8.4 million

Status: The bar is set pretty low for Fridays, so this drama starring Patrick Wilson could stay put for longer than you think. Tough to see this making it to a second season, however.

Free Agents (NBC): 1.5, 3.8 million

Canceled

Secret Circle (The CW): 1.2, 2.8 million

Full season pickup

Rock Center with Brian Williams (NBC): 1.0, 4.1 million

Status: Rock bottom with Brian Williams.

Ringer (The CW): 1.0, 2.3 million

Full season pickup

Hart of Dixie (The CW): 0.9, 2.1 million

Full season pickup

Hey, we can play death watch all season! Look at all the cannon fodder coming soon:

ABC: The River (TBD), Good Christian Belles (TBD), Don’t Trust the B—h in Apt. 23 (TBD), Scandal (TBD), Work It (TBD).

NBC: Smash (TBD), The Firm (TBD) Awake (TBD), Are You There, Chelsea? (TBD), Bent (TBD), Best Friends Forever (TBD)

CBS: The 2-2 (TBD), Untitled Rob Schneider comedy

FOX: I Hate My Teenage Daughter (Nov. 30) Napoleon Dynamite (TBD), The Finder (TBD), Touch (TBD), The Flintstones (TBD), Alcatraz (TBD)

The CW: The Frame (TBD)

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