Oscar predictions: Post-PGA rankings

Today’s Producers Guild and Writers Guild award nominations didn’t do much to shake up the overall Oscar race. But the fantastic box-office performance of True Grit has only boosted its chances…and led many voters to consider its heroine Hailee Steinfeld in the lead-actress category despite her supporting campaign. Because of that, Steinfeld now appears on both my Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress lists. And I do now have something of a gut feeling that Amy Adams could win the Best Supporting Actress trophy. Here’s where I think things stand right now.

BEST PICTURE

1. The King’s Speech (last week: 1)

2. The Social Network (last week: 2)

3. The Fighter (last week: 3)

4. True Grit (last week: 5)

5. Inception (last week: 4)

6. Black Swan (last week: 7)

7. Toy Story 3 (last week: 6)

8. The Kids Are All Right (last week: 8 )

9. The Town (last week: 10)

10. Winter’s Bone (last week: 9)

11. 127 Hours (last week: 11)

12. Another Year (last week: 12)

13. Rabbit Hole (last week: 13)

14. Get Low (last week: 14)

15. The Ghost Writer (last week: 15)

BEST DIRECTOR

1. David Fincher, The Social Network (last week: 1)

2. Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech (last week: 3)

3. Joel & Ethan Coen, True Grit (last week: 4)

4. Christopher Nolan, Inception (last week: 2)

5. Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan (last week: 5)

6. David O. Russell, The Fighter (last week: 6)

7. Ben Affleck, The Town (last week: 7)

8. Danny Boyle, 127 Hours (last week: 8 )

9. Debra Granik, Winter’s Bone (last week: 9)

10. Mike Leigh, Another Year (last week: 10)

BEST ACTOR

1. Colin Firth, The King’s Speech (last week: 1)

2. James Franco, 127 Hours (last week: 2)

3. Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network (last week: 3)

4. Jeff Bridges, True Grit (last week: 4)

5. Robert Duvall, Get Low (last week: 5)

6. Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine (last week: 6)

7. Javier Bardem, Biutiful (last week: 7)

8. Mark Wahlberg, The Fighter (last week: 8 )

9. Aaron Eckhart, Rabbit Hole (last week: 9)

10. Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception (last week: 10)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan (last week: 1)

2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right (last week: 2)

3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone (last week: 3)

4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole (last week: 4)

5. Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine (last week: 5)

6. Lesley Manville, Another Year (last week: 6)

7. Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit (last week: —)

8. Hilary Swank, Conviction (last week: 7)

9. Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right (last week: 8 )

10. Halle Berry, Frankie & Alice (last week: 9)

[dropping off: Noomi Rapace, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo]

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Christian Bale, The Fighter (last week: 1)

2. Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech (last week: 2)

3. Jeremy Renner, The Town (last week: 3)

4. Andrew Garfield, The Social Network (last week: 4)

5. Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right (last week: 5)

6. Sam Rockwell, Conviction (last week: 6)

7. John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone (last week: 7)

8. Michael Douglas, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (last week: 9)

9. Matt Damon, True Grit (last week: —)

10. Jim Broadbent, Another Year (last week: 10)

[dropping off: Bill Murray, Get Low]

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Amy Adams, The Fighter (last week: 2)

2. Melissa Leo, The Fighter (last week: 1)

3. Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech (last week: 3)

4. Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit (last week: 4)

5. Mila Kunis, Black Swan (last week: 5)

6. Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom (last week: 6)

7. Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole (last week: 7)

8. Barbara Hershey, Black Swan (last week: 9)

9. Ruth Sheen, Another Year (last week: 10)

10. Sissy Spacek, Get Low (last week: 8 )