By Ken Tucker
August 06, 2010 at 03:38 PM EDT

These two races present different challenges to anyone trying to predict a winner. I think the lead actress category is wide open (in addition to my “possible upset” pick below, I wouldn’t count out Tina Fey). On the other hand, I’ll be shocked if my choice for supporting actress doesn’t win. Check these out.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy

Toni Collette (United States of Tara)

Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie)

Tina Fey (30 Rock)

Julia Louis-Dreyfus (The New Adventures of Old Christine)

Lea Michele (Glee)

Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)

Who’ll win Edie Falco. Not many citizens watch Nurse Jackie, but Falco does a great job, and her Showtime neighbor with equally not-huge ratings Collette has won it, so Falco has a good chance.

Possible upset Amy Poehler. The episode she submitted, “Telethon,” showed how lovable and hilarious her Leslie Knope has become.

Shoulda been a contender Portia de Rossi (Better Off Ted)

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy

Julie Bowen (Modern Family)

Jane Krakowski (30 Rock)

Jane Lynch (Glee)

Holland Taylor, (Two and a Half Men)

Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)

Kristen Wiig (Saturday Night Live)

Who’ll win Jane Lynch. The best performer in Glee deserves it.

Possible upset Julie Bowen. I’d love to see Bowen win it, especially for the episode she submitted: Her disastrous Valentine’s Day date with her husband, Phil.

Shoulda been contenders Kaitlin Olson (It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia), Vanessa L. Williams (Ugly Betty)

So: Who do you think will or should win in these categories?

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