Oscars 2010: Predicting the Best Screenplay races
''The Hurt Locker'' and ''Up in the Air'' lead the way in the toughest categories to call
- Movie
Best Original Screenplay
The Odds
30%
The Hurt Locker
Mark Boal
25%
Inglorious Basterds
Quentin Tarantino
15%
The Messenger
Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman
10%
A Serious Man
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
20%
Up
Pete Docter et al.
One of the toughest races to call. Quentin Tarantino’s elaborate Inglourious Basterds has a strong shot, but Mark Boal’s point-blank script for The Hurt Locker will probably benefit from the film’s overall support. Up and A Serious Man represent Pixar and the Coen brothers’ hot streaks in this race, while The Messenger‘s feat is being the only non — Best Picture nominee to manage a nod here.
Best Adapted Screenplay
40%
Up in the Air
Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner
15%
District 9
Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
10%
An Education
Nick Hornby
15%
In the Loop
Jesse Armstrong et al.
20%
Precious
Geoffrey Fletcher
The surprise in this category is the inclusion of foulmouthed British indie In the Loop, which many voters still may not have seen. District 9, Precious, and An Education all have their fan bases (as evidenced by their films’ Best Picture nominations), but this race is likely Up in the Air‘s only real chance at a victory, so we’re going with Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner’s script in a walk.
The Hurt Locker
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