With just two weeks to go before the Oscar nominations on Feb. 2, it’s looking more and more like we’ve got seven sure-shot Best Picture nominees and three slots up for grabs. We can assume Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Up in the Air, Precious, Inglourious Basterds, Up, and An Education are all in. Beyond that, there’s a rash of films vying for Nos. 8, 9, and 10. Here they are, with their major guild accomplishments so far.

Star Trek: Producers, Writers, Art Directors, Editors

District 9: Producers, Art Directors, Editors

The Hangover: Writers, Art Directors, Editors

A Serious Man: Writers, Editors

Nine: Actors, Cinematographers


Crazy Heart: Writers

The Messenger: none

The Blind Side: none

The main questions in my mind right now: Does all the guild support for District 9 and Star Trek mean they both could make it in? Could The Hangover really end up as a Best Picture nominee? Can all the love for Jeff Bridges push Crazy Heart into the big race? My votes for the last three right now: Invictus, A Serious Man, and Star Trek, with District 9 biting at their heels. What do you all think will score those three up-for-grabs slots?