By Ken Tucker
Updated July 15, 2009 at 07:54 PM EDT

Emmy nominations are announced tomorrow, and why wait — you and I can start talking about who’s sure to get snubbed by the Academy of Arts and Sciences now. The great thing is, if we’re wrong, some of our favorite shows and actors will be rewarded with a nomination!

Near the top of my list of longshots are The Shield, True Blood, Battlestar Galactica, Eastbound & Down, and Fringe. (Let me guess: at the top of yours are Chuck and Pushing Daises, right?) Any and all of these shows deserve some Emmy affection. To stick to only the very top categories:

Best Drama Series: If the explosive yet subtle final season of The Shield doesn’t get nominated, I’ll blow my stack in homage to Vic Mackey. Ditto Battlestar Galactica, which taught a lesson to other series on how to wrap up a series that had a complex “mythology.” There’s a trio of HBO shows I like here — Big Love, In Treatment, and True Blood. Sure To Be Snubbed: My beloved Fringe. And I’d say Blood probably won’t get much recognition until next year, when its pop-culture-exploding second season becomes eligible for consideration.

Best Comedy Series: After you assume the certainly superb The Office, 30 Rock, and The New Adventures of Old Christine, this category could use three really fresh nominations. Sure To Be Snubbed: Better Off Ted, Eastbound & Down, and It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia.

Best Lead Actor in a Drama: Hoo boy, I fear, given past Emmy history, an avalanche of final-season Boston Legal nominations in many categories in addition to this one. James Spader for sure, and maybe even William Shatner. Sure To Be Snubbed: Josh Holloway, who’s overdue for Lost. Ben McKenzie in Southland.

Best Lead Actor in a Comedy: Figure Alec Baldwin, Zach Braff, and David Duchovny as locks here. Sure To Be Snubbed: Danny McBride’s heroic portrayal of a screw-up in Eastbound & Down. Jim Parsons’ dexterous excellence in The Big Bang Theory. Zachary Levi in Chuck. Jay Harrington in Better Off Ted!

Best Lead Actress in a Drama: Sigh. The names will likely be all too familiar: Sally Field. Mariska Hargitay. Maybe Glenn Close (last year’s winner) again? I hope Jeanne Tripplehorn (Big Love) is included. Sure To Be Snubbed: Elisabeth Moss in Mad Men! Anna Paquin, consistently fine in True Blood. Regina King, so beguiling in Southland. Amber Tamblyn in (we need to remember this series!) The Unusuals. Evangeline Lilly in Lost. Mary McDonnell in Battlestar!

Best Lead Actress in a Comedy: An even bigger sigh if one place is given to America Ferrera in Ugly Betty; sorry, neither the show nor her repetitive performance merits it this particular year. There’ll be a buncha Desperate Housewives, I presume. Academy members will probably pat themselves on the back and nominate Toni Collette for United States of Tara, and she certainly offers an excellent performance. But so are these: Sure To Be Snubbed: Kaitlin Olson in It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia. Yvonne Strahovski in Chuck. Portia de Rossi in Better Off Ted!

So who have I forgotten? Who do you think deserves to be nominated, but probably won’t be?