By Dave Karger
Updated January 30, 2009 at 12:00 PM EST
Credit: Stephen Vaughan

One of the last major guild award ceremonies takes place this weekend when the Directors Guild of America presents its prize on Saturday night. I’d say you can count out Frost/Nixon‘s Ron Howard and Milk‘s Gus Van Sant. Since the DGA membership includes more action-oriented TV directors than the Academy does, there’s an outside chance The Dark Knight‘s Christopher Nolan could provide a shock with a victory. But I’d say it’s a race between David Fincher for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire. Fincher is arguably more of a typical DGA favorite: He’s American, for starters, and has certainly wowed his contemporaries with films like Fight Club, Panic Room, and Zodiac. But I still have to give the edge to Boyle. Slumdog is racking up the pre-Oscar prizes like no film I’ve seen in a while, and I’d be very surprised to see it derailed this weekend.

addCredit(“Stephen Vaughan”)