Sure, Tatum O’Neal (left) won an Oscar when she was a tot, but can she fox trot?

She’s one of the contestants who’ll try to waltz off with the top prize on Dancing With the Stars when it returns to ABC on Jan. 5. Instead of six semi-famous amateur hoofers, there’ll be 10 this time (accordingly, the show is expanding to 90 minutes). Still, it looks like ABC has stuck pretty close to last summer’s winning formula in casting the newbies.

For instance, there’s a renowned athlete (NFL legend Jerry Rice, in the Evander Holyfield slot), a soap diva (Lisa Rinna, in the Kelly Monaco slot), and a silver-haired rake-turned-self-parodying pitchman (George Hamilton, in the John O’Hurley slot). Also on deck: Tia Carrere (last seen tangoing with Arnold Schwarzenegger in True Lies), WWE grappler Stacy Keibler, Jessica Simpson’s soon-to-be-ex-brother-in-law Drew Lachey, ESPN anchor Kenny Mayne, former Access Hollywood anchor Giselle Fernandez, and no-longer-Li’l rapper Romeo.

Except for Carrere, former 98 Degrees-er Lachey, and Romeo, you probably haven’t seen any of these folks dance (end-zone dancing doesn’t count, Jerry Rice), but let’s handicap them anyway. Who do you think has the best cha-cha-chance at victory, and who’s most likely to stumble?

addCredit(“Tatum O’Neal: Jemal Countess/”)