March 07, 2017 at 10:00 AM EST

Predicting things is hard. I once had a pretty sweet run when it came to Survivor predictions, correctly selecting three straight winners in a row (Yul in Cook Islands, Earl in Fiji, and Todd in China). But that was a long time ago.

My past decade of futility has featured several close calls, including runners-up galore, but no winners. I’ve even picked a winner, but for the wrong season (thanks a lot, Jeremy!). It’s kind of embarrassing actually. To be wrong 18 times in a row — you just figure the law of averages would at least help me out at some point.

But why should I be the only one put on the spot every season? That’s why I asked host Jeff Probst while on location on day one of filming Survivor: Game Changers (premiering March 8 on CBS) to make his prediction on who would walk away with the million-dollar prize. He did more than that. He told us whom he would like to see win, and who he thinks will actually be the last player standing. (Plus, I reveal my jinx-laden prediction as well.)

Watch the video above to see Probst’s prediction and for more Survivor scoop, follow me on Twitter @DaltonRoss.

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