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Will win: Mad Men
The classiest quality basic-cable series is as close as it gets to a sure-shot to win its third consecutive Globe in this category. It helps that its season finale, with the dramatic dismantling of the Sterling Cooper ad agency, was so exciting, and fresh in voters' minds.
Should win: Dexter
The show had its best season ever and its finest villain in guest star John Lithgow. A Dexter beset by a canny foe, plus marriage and parenthood, and a shocking season ending? Superb stuff.
THE WINNER: Mad Men
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BEST COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Will win: Glee
The season's most innovative show, merges American Idol tunefulness with High School Musical plotting — plus just the right amount of risqué behavior.
Should win: Modern Family
It's the year's best new sitcom. The interlocking tales of three disparate families featured every kind of comedy style, from verbal wit to slapstick, with a great ensemble cast.
THE WINNER: Glee
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BEST ACTOR, DRAMA
Will win: Hugh Laurie for House
Laurie had a stand-out season, with his Gregory House coming back after an intense rehab session: solo anguish is catnip to voters.
Should win: Bill Paxton for Big Love
The underrated Paxton deserves to take the prize as the harried polygamist with heart and brains.
THE WINNER: Michael C. Hall, Dexter
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BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
Will win: January Jones for Mad Men
Jones had to portray a chilly Betty as wife, mother, and cheating spouse without becoming unsympathetic in Mad Men. She pulled it off with grace.
Should win: Julianna Margulies for The Good Wife
Margulies lifted The Good Wife into the sort of mainstream, quality fare that didn't become a familiar tale of a wronged spouse.
THE WINNER: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
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BEST ACTOR, COMEDY
Will win: Alec Baldwin for 30 Rock
Baldwin is peerless at comic ruthlessness in 30 Rock, and his Jack Donaghy is probably America's most beloved corporate suit as well as a voter fave.
Should win: Matthew Morrison for Glee
As an earnest, inspirational teacher, he sings and dances as well as his students.
THE WINNER: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
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BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY
Will win: Courteney Cox for Cougar Town
Cox's comic comeback in Cougar Town could easily charm voters into a deserved Globe. She plays her role's broad comedy without seeming foolish or desperate.
Should win: Edie Falco for Nurse Jackie
The hard-bitten caregiver in Nurse Jackie is the TV season's most complex female comic role.
THE WINNER: Toni Collette, United States of Tara
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BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Will win: Grey Gardens
HBO always dominates the TV-movie races, and this adapted story of the eccentric Beales, mother and daughter, is a production that'll be hard to beat this year.
Should win: Little Dorrit
This beautifully crafted adaptation of the Charles Dickens novel brings glory back to PBS' Masterpiece Theatre.
THE WINNER: Grey Gardens
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BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Will win: Jessica Lange for Grey Gardens
As Mama Edie Beale, Lange faces close competition from her co-star, Drew Barrymore, but I'll bet Lange's magisterial acting wins the Globe.
Should win: Joan Allen for Georgia O'Keeffe
Allen gives another superb, ego-free performance, immersing herself thoroughly in painter O'Keeffe's artistic life.
THE WINNER: Drew Barrymore, Grey Gardens
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BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Will win: Brendan Gleeson for Into the Storm
Gleeson as a thundering Winston Churchill, in an HBO production? Engrave the Globe with his name right now.
Should win: Kenneth Branagh for Wallander: One Step Behind
The Globes don't usually award a genre piece like this — a grim little murder mystery — but Branagh's portrayal of Inspector Kurt Wallander is wonderfully subtle.
THE WINNER: Kevin Bacon, Taking Chance
More Golden Globes predictions from EW:
Movies: Dave Karger predicts who will win — and who SHOULD