September 13, 2017 at 06:11 PM EDT

Time to give away some golden girls! Will Black-ish finally beat out perennial winners Veep and Modern Family in the comedy category? Can anyone, ever, earn more votes than Julia Louis-Dreyfus in the best actress in a comedy category? Will a broadcast drama finally triumph in the race for best drama? Our TV expert and Gold Derby contributor shares her opinion on who SHOULD win but who likely triumph, instead.

Outstanding Lead Actress, Comedy

Ellie Kemper (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt)
Allison Janney (Mom)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Tracee Ellis Ross (Black-ish)
Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie)
Jane Fonda (Grace and Frankie)

Should Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus. As long as she’s on TV, no one can beat her.

But I’ll be okay if… Pamela Adlon hears the roar of the crowd at Staples. Good God, she’s side-splitting fun. And her speech could be soundbite nirvana.

I’ll grumble if… The words Grace and Frankie are mentioned more than once on stage.

Outstanding Lead Actor, Comedy

Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent)
Aziz Ansari (Master of None)
Donald Glover (Atlanta)
Anthony Anderson (Black-ish)
William H. Macy (Shameless)
Zach Galifianakis (Baskets)

Should Win: Donald Glover, who’s terrific as an eccentric Princeton dropout who just wants to rap, man.

But I’ll be okay if… Aziz Ansari, who seems to get funnier by the hour, won.

I’ll grumble if… Jeffrey Tambor goes home with another Emmy for his (admittedly awesome) dramatic performance in a category full of straight-up funnymen.

Outstanding Lead Actress, Drama

Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder)
Claire Foy (The Crown)
Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale)
Keri Russell (The Americans)
Evan Rachel Wood (Westworld)
Robin Wright (House of Cards)

Should Win: Claire Foy, who was truly magnificent as a royal torn between running a country and keeping her marriage alive.

But I’ll be okay if… Evan Rachel Wood takes home the prize for her very human portrayal of host Dolores.

I’ll grumble if… Viola Davis takes another trip to the podium. Not that she doesn’t deserve to be sick with trophies, but the competition is just too good this year.

Outstanding Lead Actor, Drama

Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us)
Anthony Hopkins (Westworld)
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
Matthew Rhys (The Americans)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)
Milo Ventimiglia (This Is Us)

Should Win: Sterling K. Brown. He’s absolutely magnetic as a family man who hungered for a connection with his dying biological father.

But I’ll be okay if… Matthew Rhys walks away with it instead. His portrayal of a Reagan-era KGB agent has gone overlooked for too long.

I’ll grumble if… it went to Kevin Spacey. Love him to pieces, but his Frank Underwood was straight-up nuts in season 5.

Outstanding Limited Series

Big Little Lies
Feud: Bette and Joan
The Night Of

Should win: Big Little Lies. As a fan of the book, the adaptation to screen chillingly dead-on. I didn’t want it to end.

But I’ll be okay if… Feud: Bette and Joan went home with a golden girl instead, if only for those episodes when the ol’ girls were actually shooting the movie. (For the latter episodes, not so much).

I’ll grumble if… Genius managed to squeak by, because that would mean it beat out Fargo AND The Night Of, too. And that’s just wrong, man.

Outstanding Comedy Series

Veep (HBO)
Atlanta (FX)
Black-ish (ABC)
Master of None (Netflix)
Modern Family (ABC)
Silicon Valley (HBO)
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)

Should Win: Atlanta, a super fresh tale about three Georgia buddies trying to break into the city’s rap scene.

But I’ll be okay if… Silicon Valley and those criminally overlooked Pied Piper boys finally celebrate a win.

I’ll grumble if… Modern Family collects another bucket of gold. Executive producer Steve Levitan always delivers a humble and funny speech, but it’s time someone else’s sense of humor was honored.

Outstanding Drama Series

House of Cards (Netflix)
Better Call Saul (AMC)
The Crown (Netflix)
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
This Is Us (NBC)
Westworld (HBO)
Stranger Things (Netflix)

Should Win: The Crown, a surprisingly engrossing tale when it seems we already know all we need to know about Queen Elizabeth II and her family.

But I’ll be okay if… The Handmaid’s Tale, which is scary as hell but freakishly relevant (which is why it’s so scary), took it. Even watching the cast of Stranger Things running up on stage would make me giddy, too.

I’ll grumble if… House of Cards triumphs over its sister Netflix shows. There’s no way Frank and Claire were better than Eleven, Lucas, Dustin and Mike this year.

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