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Box office preview: The Jungle Book to best Keanu, Mother’s Day

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Disney

The king of the jungle will continue his reign.

Even with three new wide releases hitting theaters this weekend, none will manage to dethrone The Jungle Book, which is headed for its third weekend at No. 1. The Jon Favreau-directed adventure has officially crossed $200 million at the domestic box office, currently boasting a total of $205.9 million domestically and $576.9 million worldwide.

The Jungle Book won’t face much competition from new releases Mother’s Day, Keanu, or Ratchet & Clank, all of which are headed for an opening in the low teens or high single digits. All in all, it should be fairly quiet weekend at the box office before Captain America: Civil War officially ushers in summer movie season.

Here’s what this weekend’s top five might look like:

1. The Jungle Book — $40 million

Thanks to rave reviews and positive word-of-mouth, The Jungle Book held up extremely well in its second weekend, falling only 40 percent from its $103.3 million opening. As it enters its third weekend, it’s expected to see even less of a decline, and a projected drop of about 35 percent would put it right around $40 million.

2. Mother’s Day — $12 million

Director Garry Marshall is back with another holiday-themed ensemble dramedy, this time recruiting Jennifer Aniston, Julia Roberts, and Jason Sudeikis for his ode to Mother’s Day. Marshall’s biggest opening is still the star-studded Valentine’s Day, which opened in 2010 to a whopping $56.3 million, but Mother’s Day is expected to perform more similarly to 2011’s New Year’s Eve, which debuted to $13 million. Mother’s Day has also been savaged by critics, and it only holds a 12 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Expect it to debut in the low double-digits in more than 3,000 locations.

3. Keanu — $10 million

Having wrapped up their Comedy Central show Key and Peele, Keegan-Michael Key and Jordan Peele are taking their comedy partnership to the big screen with Keanu, an action-comedy about the pair’s attempts to rescue their kitten from the clutches of murderous drug dealers. After five seasons on TV, Key and Peele have a built-in audience of fans, but it remains to be seen whether they can translate their TV achievements into box office success. Early reviews, however, have been positive, and it currently holds an 83 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes. With a budget of about $15 million, Keanu is opening in about 2,600 locations and is expected to earn $10 million.

4. The Huntsman: Winter’s War — $8 million

Last weekend, Winter’s War opened to $19.4 million — or less than half of what the original Snow White and the Huntsman debuted to in 2012. So far, Winter’s War has earned $23.5 million domestically and $102.7 million worldwide. Snow White took a tumble of 59 percent in its second weekend, and with such negative critical reviews, Winter’s War should see a similarly steep drop, putting it somewhere around $8 million for its second weekend.

5. Ratchet & Clank — $7 million

Finally, the animated Ratchet & Clank is hitting about 2,800 theaters as the big-screen adaptation of the beloved video game series. Reviews are still coming in for the PG-rated adventure, but initial reactions haven’t been great, and it currently holds a 27 percent rating on Rotten Tomatoes. It’s expected to debut in the mid-to-high single digits.