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Oscar predictions: After Producers Guild

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So how does today’s Producers Guild Awards announcement — and its surprising omission of The Tree of Life — affect the overall Oscar race? The Tree of Life took a bit of a hit today; if it also fails to earn a Directors Guild nomination, it may be down for the count. Here are my weekly ranked lists in the six major categories.

BEST PICTURE

1. The Artist (last week: 1)

2. War Horse (last week: 2)

3. The Descendants (last week: 3)

4. The Help (last week: 4)

5. Hugo (last week: 5)

6. Midnight in Paris (last week: 6)

7. Moneyball (last week: 8 )

8. The Tree of Life (last week: 7)

9. Bridesmaids (last week: 10)

10. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 14)

11. The Ides of March (last week: 12)

12. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close (last week: 9)

13. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows — Part 2 (last week: 11)

14. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 13)

15. Drive (last week: 15)

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist (last week: 1)

2. Steven Spielberg, War Horse (last week: 2)

3. Martin Scorsese, Hugo (last week: 3)

4. Alexander Payne, The Descendants (last week: 4)

5. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life (last week: 5)

6. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris (last week: 6)

7. David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 9)

8. Tate Taylor, The Help (last week: 8 )

9. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 11)

10. Stephen Daldry, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 7)

11. Bennett Miller, Moneyball (last week: 10)

12. Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive (last week: 12)

BEST ACTOR

1. George Clooney, The Descendants (last week: 1)

2. Brad Pitt, Moneyball (last week: 2)

3. Jean Dujardin, The Artist (last week: 3)

4. Michael Fassbender, Shame (last week: 4)

5. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar (last week: 5)

6. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter (last week: 6)

7. Demián Bichir, A Better Life (last week: 7)

8. Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 8 )

9. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March (last week: 11)

10. Woody Harrelson, Rampart (last week: 10)

11. Ryan Gosling, Drive (last week: 9)

12. Matt Damon, We Bought a Zoo (last week: 12)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Viola Davis, The Help (last week: 1)

2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (last week: 2)

3. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 3)

4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (last week: 4)

5. Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin (last week: 5)

6. Charlize Theron, Young Adult (last week: 6)

7. Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 7)

8. Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene (last week: 8 )

9. Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids (last week: 9)

10. Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method (last week: 10)

11. Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia (last week: 11)

12. Felicity Jones, Like Crazy (last week: 12)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Christopher Plummer, Beginners (last week: 1)

2. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 2)

3. Albert Brooks, Drive (last week: 3)

4. Jonah Hill, Moneyball (last week: 4)

5. Nick Nolte, Warrior (last week: 5)

6. Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 6)

7. Armie Hammer, J. Edgar (last week: 7)

8. Ben Kingsley, Hugo (last week: 8)

9. Patton Oswalt, Young Adult (last week: 9)

10. Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method (last week: 10)

11. Andy Serkis, Rise of the Planet of the Apes (last week: 11)

12. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 12)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Octavia Spencer, The Help (last week: 1)

2. Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids (last week: 2)

3. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist (last week: 3)

4. Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (last week: 4)

5. Jessica Chastain, The Help (last week: 5)

6. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants (last week: 6)

7. Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus (last week: 7)

8. Carey Mulligan, Shame (last week: 8 )

9. Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 9)

10. Judy Greer, The Descendants (last week: 10)

11. Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life (last week: 11)

12. Kate Winslet, Carnage (last week: 12)

Dave on Twitter: @davekarger

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