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My Emmy picks and yours: Here's who'll win comedy lead and supporting actor. What? You disagree?

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The Emmys in the comedy category present particularly tight, vexed races: So many good performers, so few slots. Nevertheless, as we continue to make Emmy predictions, I think I’ve got these figured out. And I know you’ll let me know if you agree or disagree, below.

OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)

Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)

Matthew Morrison (Glee)

Steve Carell (The Office)

Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)

Tony Shalhoub (Monk)

Who’ll win: Jim Parsons. It’s his year. (Well, so was last year.) Alec Baldwin has been amply rewarded, and Emmy voters will wait for Steve Carell’s last season to give him an Office Emmy.

Possible upset: Tony Shalhoub. It was Monk‘s final season, so there’s nostalgia plus the iron-clad Emmy law: Never Underestimate the Shloob…

Shoulda been contenders: Better Off Ted‘s Jay Harrington; Community‘s Joel McHale

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Chris Colfer (Glee)

Neil Patrick Harris (How I Met Your Mother)

Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)

Jon Cryer (Two and A Half Men)

Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)

Ty Burrell (Modern Family)

Who’ll win: Ty Burrell. All the guys in Modern Family are wonderful, but Burrell was probably the voters’ most pleasant surprise… since they didn’t see how good he was in Back To You!

Possible upset: Neil Patrick Harris, if all the Family men somehow cancel each other out in cumulative votes.

Shoulda been contenders: Ed O’Neil! Colfer or Cryer’s nomination robbed the remaining Family co-star from a well-deserved spot here. Also, in an ideal, lengthened list, Parks and Recreation‘s Nick Offerman and Community‘s Danny Pudi would get nominated. Of course, if I were doing the nominating, I’d have Better Off Ted‘s Malcolm Barrett and Jonathan Slavin — aka, Lem and Phil — on this list, too.

What are your picks?

Follow: @kentucker