Now that the Emmy nominations have been announced, it’s time to get down to the business of predicting who will emerge victorious on Aug. 29. Each week between now and Emmy night, I’ll be taking a closer look at the major categories and singling out the frontrunners, the dark horses, and — because my bitterness knows no expiration date — the most unforgivable snubs. (During this time, my esteemed colleagues Lynette Rice and Ken Tucker will also be offering their kudos insight as well.) First up: Outstanding Lead and Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Jon Hamm (Mad Men)
Kyle Chandler (Friday Night Lights)
Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad)
Hugh Laurie (House M.D.)
Michael C. Hall (Dexter)
Matthew Fox (Lost)
The Frontrunner: Cranston and Chandler (tie). Cranston could well earn his third consecutive trophy, but the Academy has three years of snubs to atone for where Chandler is concerned.
The Dark Horse: Laurie. If he submits last season’s two-hour asylum-set opener — and he’d be a dummy not to — the winless thesp could be tough to beat.
Most Egregious Snub: Timothy Olyphant (Justified). Perhaps voters thought… Maybe they didn’t consider… I guess it’s possible they failed to… Nope, I got nothin’.
Other Notable Omissions: Peter Krause (Parenthood), Andy Whitfield (Spartacus: Blood and Sand), and Kiefer Sutherland (24).
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA
John Slattery (Mad Men)
Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad)
Martin Short (Damages)
Terry O’Quinn (Lost)
Michael Emerson (Lost)
Andre Braugher (Men of a Certain Age)
The Frontrunner: Paul. Of all the nominees here, he has the strongest work to choose from. Of course, I said the same thing last year.
The Dark Horse: Braugher. The first rule of Emmy predicting: Never bet against Braugher. The Homicide vet already has two gold statues on his mantle. His vanity-free work as a stressed-out working dad on Certain Men could easily earn him a third.
Most Egregious Snub: John Noble (Fringe). In any universe, this is simply unacceptable.
Other Notable Omissions: Nestor Carbonell (Lost), Tate Donovan (Damages), and Chris Noth (The Good Wife).
Is your crystal ball telling you something different? And do you agree with my picks for most egregious snubs? Sound off below!