I’ve always been a firm believer in the power of the BAFTA Awards to give us an idea of how the overall awards-season winds may be shifting. After all, The Hurt Locker tied Avatar with the most nominations at the BAFTAs before it managed the same feat on Oscar nomination day. But then there’s the BAFTA wild card, An Education, which also scored eight nods. The awards ceremony takes place this Sunday in London; here are my predictions for the major categories.
The Hurt Locker
Up In The Air
Ahhh, isn’t it nice to see just five nominees listed? An Education probably has a better chance to take home the Outstanding British Film prize, leaving Avatar and The Hurt Locker to battle it out for Best Film. Even though The Hurt Locker remains the front-runner on this side of the pond, I’m thinking Avatar will win this one.
James Cameron, Avatar
Neill Blomkamp, District 9
Lone Scherfig, An Education
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Clearly this is a race between Cameron and Bigelow. I’m wondering if The Hurt Locker might be too American-indie feeling to sway the British voters, but I still think Bigelow will take it.
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up In The Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Andy Serkis, Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll
Firth certainly has a home-field advantage, but Bridges’ performance is likely too seminal to ignore.
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Saoirse Ronan, The Lovely Bones
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Audrey Tautou, Coco Before Chanel
With Sandra Bullock ineligible (The Blind Side didn’t open there in time), this one’s between Streep and Mulligan. All the love for An Education should push Mulligan over the top.
Alec Baldwin, It’s Complicated
Christian McKay, Me And Orson Welles
Alfred Molina, An Education
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
I don’t see any way Waltz loses here.
Anne-Marie Duff, Nowhere Boy
Vera Farmiga, Up In The Air
Anna Kendrick, Up In The Air
Kristin Scott Thomas, Nowhere Boy
It’s Mo’Nique in a landslide, and probably Precious‘ only victory.
The Hangover (Jon Lucas, Scott Moore)
The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)
Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
A Serious Man (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen)
Up (Bob Peterson, Pete Docter)
Basterds just missed the cut for Best Picture, but my hunch is that it could still top The Hurt Locker in this race.
District 9 (Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell)
An Education (Nick Hornby)
In The Loop (Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche)
Precious (Geoffrey Fletcher)
Up In The Air (Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner)
Hornby will put up a great fight, but Up in the Air needs to win something, and this will probably be the one.
Image credit: Kerry Brown