Although the question is a toughie: Would audiences rather see Jim Carrey and his slightly-less-rubbery face resurrect the same comic schtick for Warners’ Yes Man that made him a star or watch Will Smith save souls while running through the rain in Sony’s spiritual tearjerker Seven Pounds? Neither are getting stellar reviews — Owen Gleiberman gave Yes Man a B– while Lisa Schwarzbaum teed off on Seven Pounds, giving it a D — but they’ve both got big honking stars in ’em. Someone’s gonna make money this weekend; let’s look at my picks for the Top Five:
1. Yes Man — $39 million
It’s been a while since we’ve seen Jim Carrey do that thing audiences expect from Jim Carrey: You’d have to go back to Bruce Almighty in 2003. As such, you can’t count on this one to make the $68 million Bruce did in its opening weekend. But people, they like the funny…especially if they’ve spent the last week battling the mall crowds.
2. Seven Pounds — $23 million
Since this isn’t a Will Smith-blows-stuff-up movie, one can’t expect it to blow up at the box office like I Am Legend or Hancock. But it oughta do a hair under The Pursuit of Happyness‘ $26.5 million opening—mostly because people don’t know what to expect from it. Happyness had that tearjerking trailer. This has obscure references to random weights and measures.
3. The Day the Earth Stood Still — $19 million
This Keanu Reeves flick will have another week of decent performance before buckling under the prestige-y weight of The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and the doggie weight of Marley and Me.
4. The Tale of Desperaux — $13 million
Without the Pixar pedigree, great reviews (like Bolt got), or the word “Shrek” somewhere in the title, it’s a tough go for a CG animated flick these days. Just ask Delgo. But desperate parents might call for Desperaux measures…just not in blockbuster amounts.
5. Four Christmases — $8 million
It’s been a pretty good run—$91.2 million and counting—and this’ll likely be Christmas‘ last week in the top 5.
So, there you have it. To borrow from the wise rogue himself, Han Solo, laugh it up, fuzzballs.