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Know who'll win ''Survivor''? Check out our odds

Know who’ll win ”Survivor”? Check out our odds. EW takes a look at the last contestants standing — and what could win or lose them the money

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Butch Lockley, Jenna Morasca, ...
Survivor: Monty Brinton

Know who’ll win ”Survivor”? Check out our odds

It started off as a battle of the sexes, but as we close in on the ”Survivor: The Amazon” finale on May 11 (CBS at 8 p.m.), it’s become more about the battle for a cool million bucks. With critics (okay, maybe just me) calling it the most exciting installment ever, we decided to ignore reports of inside betting by CBS staffers and look at how the final four are faring and their chances for victory.

Butch Lockley, Survivor: The Amazon
Image credit: Survivor Amazon: Monty Brinton/CBS


Here are Butch’s chances of winning ”Survivor”

PROS While bringing a huge banner that reads ”Believe in Yourself!” as a luxury item certainly invited mockery (at least from me), we can’t figure out what else could’ve possibly gotten the mellow fellow this far. Looks all wise and dignified with a beard.

CONS You know you have a tendency to get a little out of the loop when you end up relying on crazy Matthew (Matthew!) as your pipeline for information.

ODDS Can nice guys finish first? In this case, only if they’re not facing a nice gal in the finals. 3-1

Matthew Von Ertfelda, Survivor: The Amazon
Image credit: Survivor Amazon: Robert Voets/CBS


Here are Matthew’s chances of winning ”Survivor”

PROS He’s handsome, happy, hardworking, and lots of other great things that start with the letter ”h.” Plus, not only is he the only strong athlete left, but like Mikey the Life cereal boy, he’ll eat anything.

CONS Oh, did we mention he’s also on the verge of LOSING HIS MIND?!? He’d stand a lot better chance of winning if he didn’t freak everyone out by walking around with a machete mumbling to himself.

ODDS Don’t track us down and kill us for saying this, Matthew, but we’d like your chances more if you weren’t so blindly trusting — especially of (not-so-slim) shady Rob. 6-1

Rob Cesternino, Survivor: The Amazon
Image credit: Survivor Amazon: Monty Brinton/CBS


Here are Rob’s chances of winning ”Survivor”

PROS Has been super-scheming from day one and may have a few tricks left up his sleeve. Also doesn’t let himself get hamstrung by ridiculous little concepts like loyalty. (Hiya, Deena and Alex!)

CONS The pervert within may start thinking with his little head instead of his big one. Plus, switching sides so frequently usually comes back to haunt players at some point. (Hiya again, Deena!)

ODDS At this point, is there anyone on the jury who would vote for him? Anyone? Bueller? Anyone? 8-1

Jenna Morasca, Survivor: The Amazon
Image credit: Survivor Amazon: Robert Voets/CBS


Here are Jenna’s chances of winning ”Survivor”

PROS Loves using sex as a weapon (at least according to the other tribemates). Also has started crying a lot recently, which is always a good sympathy ploy.

CONS This ”swimsuit model” has a tendency to resent anyone she perceives as being jealous of her hotness, which could cloud her judgment.

ODDS If she’ll strip naked for a glob of peanut butter, just imagine the lengths to which she’d go to win a million dollars. (Rob already has.) Sadly, at this point her chances seem as skimpy as her wardrobe. 15-1